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Arnon Rieger

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Israel’s Downfall
By: Arnon Rieger

The Core Theme of the Work: Based on Dr. Henry Kissinger mantra, “Competing pressures tempt one to believe that an issue deferred is a problem avoided; more often it is a crisis invented." It describes how the Israeli polity, by refusing to act decisively in the aftermath of the Six Days War, in bowing to international and, in particular, USA pressures, mortgaged her future to the point of self destruction.

Synopsis: Some analysts can trace the Arab Israeli dispute back to Adam and Eve. However, in my humble opinion, its real significance, in the international arena, starts from the UN Partition Plan of November 1947, which in effect created the Jewish State, namely, Israel. This conflict can therefore “celebrate”, this year, its 56th Anniversary, which makes it one of the longest continuous unabated conflicts in the history of international relations. Many pundits claim that the end of the conflict is very near and that it hinges on solving only one problem, the Palestinian problem. This should be done only via the US pressuring Israel, alone, to meet the Palestinians full aspirations. This Orwellian language that is being used by the international community including the US, of submission to the Arab pressures and declaring victory via supremacy, is short sighted and will only aggravate the situation in the Middle East.

A great man, admiral Hyman G. Rickover, the “father” of America’s nuclear submarines once said, “Great minds discuss ideas, average minds discuss events, small minds discuss people.” Today we are in the midst of fluctuating between the “average” and the “small” mind era.

It is true, that without the very existence of the State of Israel, the conflict as we are witnessing it today would not exist, but it can also be said that there would not be a Palestinian State either. Ignoring the pundits who urge Israel to dismantle herself, the present situation can be traced to the year of 1967. On May 15, 1967 Abdul Nasser the leader of the UAR (United Arab Republic which included Egypt and Syria) made both political and military moves toward the annihilation of the Jewish State. These moves were done at the urging of the Soviet Union. Nasser blocked the Suez Canal and the Straits of Tiran to Israeli shipping. He ordered the UN forces from Sinai where they were stationed after the 1956 occupation of Sinai by Israel to preserve the demilitarization of Sinai. He moved his troops to Sinai and the Syrian troops to the Golan Heights in a clear posture of invading and destroying Israel. None of the “other” super powers were about to get involved in diffusing the situation. France with her “moral” leader Charles De-Gaulle were out of North Africa and the US was in a deep quagmire in Vietnam, ignoring the situation completely despite the fact that it was clear that any Arab victory would result in deeper penetration of the Soviet Union into the Middle East and the elimination of Israel from the world map. All the Western leaders were unified in urging Israel not to initiate any preemptive strike. Israel found herself with a full citizenry reserve army at the borders and an inactive stand still of her entire economy.

Fast forward three weeks, between the fifth and the tenth of June, Israel defied world opinion and acted preemptively and found herself with the destruction of the Egyptian and Syrian armies and in control of Sinai, the Golan Heights, West Bank and the Gaza Strip. Now, as if waking up from hibernation, the entire world community through the UN and the big powers found themselves in furious diplomatic activities. This brings us to today’s situation where Israel gave up the land with no Arabs (the Sinai) and kept the land with the Arabs. These Arabs demand from Israel the establishment of a Palestinian State in the areas that the Arabs controlled between 1948 and June 5, 1967. The reason for the conquest of these territories, which was to prevent Israel’s annihilation, is no longer the issue. The core problem in the Middle East now is addressing the plight of the Palestinians. This Palestinian problem is to be dealt with by Israel alone. There is no participation or sense of responsibility in admitting to their role in causing the Palestinian problem by the other Arab countries.

There are many well meaning “average minded experts” who covered the Arab-Israeli conflict of 1967 who chronicled the forces and the facts behind the events. They filled up volumes of best sellers, but the reality was said best by the leader Nasser himself in his “resignation” speech of July 23,1967. He said that his actions were purely defensive measures, necessary to help Syria under the new treaty; as well as, being a matter of honor and solidarity. It was also a question of Egypt’s own security. But earlier, on May 26, in a speech to the Arab trade unionists, when things seemed to be going his way, Nasser had described the sequence of events in different light:

We were waiting for the day when we would be fully prepared…I say nothing aimlessly. One day, two years ago, I stood up to say that we have no plan to liberate Palestine…recently we felt we are strong enough, that if we were to enter a battle, with God’s help we could triumph…

To the “great mind” it is pure and simple, eradication of Israel.

The end of World War II can be used as an analogy to the present situation between Israel and the Arabs. The Nazis, in their original claim, were intended to liberate the German ethnic group in Czechoslovakia and Poland. If we were to draw an equivalent to the end of the Six Days War, the victorious powers in 1945 would request that both Czechoslovakia and Poland establish autonomous states for their ethnic Germans. Instead those Germans were expelled from their territories and became refugees in Germany. They were absorbed without ever prolonging the issue. The lesson that was applied to Germany is a simple one, you pay the consequences of losing a war that you initiated, and there is no going back. However, this lesson cannot be applied to the Arabs because Israel. with its 5 million people, is not a major player in the international arena and the Arabs have oil and 300 million people.

The current Israeli economic and security crisis cannot be understood and brought under control without a rethinking of the present course of Israeli foreign policy. Central to this crisis is the ever-increasing dependency of Israel on US financial and military support without US political and diplomatic support. This dependency brings Israel, dangerously, to a large-scale catastrophe since it delays, further and further, to the point of no perceived future, the possibility of ever achieving a true peace treaty with its Arab neighbors. This economic dependency allowed the US foreign policy in the Middle East to transform Israel’s military might into an ineffective force as a convincing diplomatic tool in achieving Israel’s desire to live in peace with its neighbors. This manuscript will attempt to explain how Israel was brought to this juncture in her history that may seal her demise.

Table of Contents

1. Preface
2. Prologue
3. Introduction
4. A short history of Zionism
5. Arab and Islam vs. the Rest of the World
6. Arab Attitude toward Israel.
7. The myth behind the US as an Ally of Israel
8. Israel’s Present Situation
9. The reasons for Israel’s failed polity
10. What can be done?
11. Israel-the media and the international Jewish communities
12. Epilogue
13. Bibliographies

Information about Myself

Although I have worked as a mechanical engineer my whole professional life, my personal history and private political passions have led me to be a keen observer and activist on behalf of Israel for 64 years.
I think you will find my personal history interesting and yet at the same time typical of Israelis of my generation. For this reason I hope you will find this manuscript - which is the fruit of a lifetime of observation of international and Israeli politics-- the kind of intellectual pursuit you want to promote.

I was born in Tel-Aviv in September of 1938 in the land of Israel and as a young boy witnessed the tumultuous years prior to the establishment of the State of Israel and the War of Independence and went to live in Kibbutz Mishmar Haemek on my own when I was 13 years old. At that time I very much believed in the promise of the Socialist Kibbutz movement to bring salvation to the Jewish people and humanity. But like many of my other peers, I soon became disillusioned with the failures and hypocrisy of the left and moved politically to the right about the time I began to serve in the Israeli army. I served in the IDF from 1956 - during the Sinai Campaign - and continued in reserve duty until 1964 when I came to the United States to attend college. I actively participated in the occupation of the Gaza Strip in 1956 and later on was involved with the IDF in special testing of new recruit for their appropriate placement.

Throughout my life I have been a close observer of the political and scholarly debates in Israel. My letters to the editor have appeared in publications such as Commentary Magazine, The Boston Globe and Local papers. I was also a guest on MSNBC commenting on the Oslo peace process.